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January 13, 2026 / Uncategorized

Daniel Cruz passes his PhD viva

The ADVODID team are pleased to announce that last November, Daniel Cruz successfully passed his PhD defence at the University of Copenhagen. His dissertation examines how political elites make decisions under conditions of uncertainty, limited information, and institutional constraints, shedding new light on the cognitive and emotional foundations of elite behavior in contemporary democracies. Drawing on experimental and comparative evidence from Latin America, Europe, and the United States, the dissertation shows that politicians rely on heuristics, emotional reactions, and informational shortcuts when evaluating policies and political outcomes. His work demonstrates how electoral outcomes, policy diffusion, anecdotal information, and credibility cues shape elite attitudes and judgments, with important implications for democratic representation and accountability.

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ADVODID and CBS Money in Politics Workshop

Featured study

This new paper by Anne Rasmussen, Simon Otjes in the Journal of PoliticsĀ studies the magnitude and potential drivers of misperceptions by comparing actual public opinion on policy with estimations of public opinion by representatives at all government levels in Denmark and the Netherlands. Our results show misperceptions are widespread and associated with a tendency for representatives to project their own opinion onto the public. It is one of the largest studies on perceptions of public opinion to date, based on approximately 10,000 estimations by politicians.

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